Bearish crypto influencer often known as keyboard monkey I made a prediction and gained a $200,000 wager. Bitcoin‘s current sell-off adopted a 17% month-to-month plunge that noticed the inventory drop beneath $100,000 for the primary time in six months.
Keyboard Monkey’s win was because of a wager with fellow influencers directions Bitcoin will fall to $100,000 earlier than reaching $120,000. numerous—Prediction Market developed by decryptionDastan, the guardian firm ofacted as an middleman for this commerce, holding the $200,000 staked in escrow and monitoring consumer sentiment on a prediction market platform. (Disclaimer: Mando is an investor in Dastan.)
Nevertheless it wasn’t all clean crusing for this influencer. Only a week in the past, Bitcoin soared to $115,513, giving Keyboard Monkey only a 27% likelihood of successful. numerous. This was simply one among 9 instances out there’s 23-day interval that the percentages reversed.
After $1.15 million in quantity and $11.5 million in charges, the prediction is lastly settled…@KeyboardMonkey3 wins over @RektMando as BTC dips beneath $100,000.
That is the primary of many PVP markets operated on MYRIAD…
I acquired your opinion so I want to put up it… pic.twitter.com/tVTAnqQTEV
— MYRIAD (@MyriadMarkets) November 5, 2025
How we bought right here
It began with breaking data $19 billion liquidation cascade It was October tenth, after US President Donald Trump threatened China with large tariffs. In line with , Bitcoin fell 8% in 24 hours from $121,000 to $111,000. CoinGecko.
“[I’m]very assured in BTC beneath $100,000,” KeyboardMonkey Posted in X. “I believe it should be $120,000 earlier than $100,000. Let’s begin a prediction market on this.” Mando answered. “After all, it’s a cakewalk.” Keyboard Monkey made a joke.
Each influencers donated $100,000, which was held in escrow by Myriad, with the winner receiving the complete quantity.
I believe it is $120,000 earlier than $100,000.
Let’s begin a prediction market on this
— Introduction (@cereate) Retrieved November 2025
what was the outcome
As soon as the market opened, Keyboard Monkey’s win charge dropped to 24%. Bitcoin partially rebounds As much as $115,000. As Bitcoin fell to $105,000 over the subsequent 4 days, the percentages reversed and the influencer’s odds jumped to 68.7%.
Keyboard Monkey’s possibilities collapsed as soon as once more as Bitcoin recovered to $108,000. The percentages flipped 4 extra instances over the subsequent few days as Bitcoin’s infamous volatility was on full show and influencers’ funds had been at stake.
Nonetheless, by October 27, Mando had a 73% likelihood of claiming victory, and it regarded like the competition may quickly be over. Bitcoin recovers to $115,000 commerce battle tensions The tensions between the US and China had eased, and forecasters believed there can be clear skies forward.
However this was only a native prime. Bitcoin plummeted 13% over the subsequent week. a number of $1 billion liquidation day Hitting the market, BTC Slouch for lower than $100,000 For the primary time in half a yr. The market is over.
“The Good Guys Gained” Keyboard Monkey I wrote XHe claimed a complete reward of $200,000.
