DeFi Dad posts William Mougayar’s new work on Ethereum’s basic mispricing. The report claims that the market has developed Ethereum as a business enterprise. Traders worth ETFs based mostly on charges and returns. Moogayal locations this lens in a unfavorable gentle, saying that Ethereum’s function as a public good is undervalued. He likens Ethereum to the bottom layer of the Web, equivalent to TCP/IP. These plans generated big financial revenues with out direct advantages. Ether works equally. The community powers trillions of actions in stablecoins, funds, DeFi, and tokenized property. Based on the report, the worth of ETH is barely a fraction of this worth. At present, market capitalization numbers don’t point out the general impression of the community. This hole is recognized within the submit and requires a brand new analysis framework.
New valuation mannequin has trillions of {dollars} of intrinsic worth
This report presents a three-part analysis mannequin. Quantify captured worth, capitalized financial flows, and belief surpluses. The market capitalization of ETH, Layer 2 networks, and DeFi protocols has captured worth. This group is presently price about $0.6-0.9 trillion. The financial flows that rely upon Ethereum are capitalized and are such that they embrace GDP-like actions. This consists of the amount of stablecoin funds, DeFi transactions, and tokenized transactions.
These flows exceed 50 trillion every year. Utilizing conservative multiples, the valuation is between 0.3 trillion and three trillion. Belief surplus consists of lowered fraud, resistance to censorship, and financial savings from intermediaries. These advantages add as much as 0.15-0.6 trillion. The hybrid mannequin primarily values Ethereum within the vary of two trillion to six trillion. As of December 2025, ETH has a market worth of almost 400 billion. The report notes that this disconnect is essentially underestimated.
Ethernet techniques because the world’s belief in finance
Based on the report, Ethereum has been known as the worldwide belief underlayer of digital finance. Networks safe worth. Implement the principles. It’s a host of worldwide purposes and depends on banks, fintechs, companies, and governments. This report compares the early Web. TCP/IP was the powerhouse of world communications. It has expanded to trillions of {dollars} in financial impression. The identical is true for Ethereum. Tokenization will develop.
Adoption of secure cash is rising. Actual-world property transfer to the blockchain. Demand from institutional buyers is rising all over the world. The mannequin predicts a worth of between 10 trillion and 20 trillion over the subsequent three years (2035). Based on McKinsey and the World Financial institution, the expansion of digital infrastructure is historic. The report claims that Ethereum can be on the identical curve. This submit exhibits that ETH’s long-term utility is optimistic. The group believes this research is a wake-up name to the market’s status for base layers.
