Bitcoin’s value historical past has seen all of it: a five-digit crash, a regulatory crackdown, a forex collapse, and a bear market that lasted the higher a part of two years. Via all of those occasions, one document remained intact. That’s, Bitcoin has by no means closed within the purple in January, February, and March all in the identical calendar yr. By no means in my total buying and selling historical past. However with only some days left till March 2026, it stays untouched. The document is at present on life help.
numbers that inform a narrative
Bitcoin is In direction of the tip of March There’s a risk of three consecutive losses from the primary month to the primary yr, a state of affairs that has by no means been recorded in buying and selling historical past. coin glass Month-to-month income warmth map Describe the state of affairs with uncomfortably accuracy. January 2026 ended 10.17% decrease. February additionally noticed a decline of 14.94%, setting a document for the primary consecutive February with a deficit following the 17.39% decline in 2025.
March is at present prone to ending in destructive territory, with Bitcoin buying and selling at round $67,750 on the time of writing, in comparison with the month’s opening value of $66,970 after February’s shut. Because of this, the month-to-date return for March is roughly 0.31%, and there may be one enterprise day left till the month-to-month candlestick closes.
Bitcoin month-to-month return (%). Supply: Coin Glass
Cross-referencing the entire historic dataset, there was no yr in Bitcoin’s traceable value historical past (2013-2026) that had three consecutive purple month-to-month closes at first of the yr. There have been additionally some powerful years by way of particular person months. In January 2015, it decreased by 33.05%, in January 2018, it decreased by 25.41%, and in February 2014, it decreased by 31.03%. Nonetheless, in every case, there was no such reduction in any respect in 2026, though no less than one of many opening three months rallied to a inexperienced shut.
Risk of six consecutive deficits
Bitcoin is Month-to-month purple closing costs proceed for a very long time Since reaching an all-time excessive of over $126,000 in October 2025. Because of this, in February 2025, the corporate posted 5 consecutive deficits for the second time in historical past. that Data at the moment are in danger Relying on the ultimate developments in March, this will likely be prolonged to 6 purple closes per thirty days.
The situation behind this efficiency is the convergence of stress that has steadily elevated over the previous six months. At current, investor sentiment in direction of Bitcoin has deteriorated to its lowest stage in a number of years. now on the lowest stage Because the 2022 bear market.
Because it stands, the general efficiency for Q1 2026 is -22.6% within the purple. The primary quarter of 2026 efficiency marked the weakest begin to the interval since 2018, when Bitcoin misplaced 50.7% of its worth between January and March. Losses within the first quarter of the yr had been even worse in absolute phrases, however rose 0.47% in February.
As of this writing, Bitcoin is buying and selling at $67,750, with sooner or later left till most traders write the final line of their chapter. I did not anticipate to see it Written at first of the yr.
Featured picture created by Dall.E, chart on Tradingview.com
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